Girls Teams On the Rise

Just about everyone who follows girls' distance running knows about the individual stars that North Carolina is currently producing, the lastest crop in a long string of great young women to come from the Tar Heel State.  We have not been known, however, for depth among female runners, and our girls' teams have never been able to do more than hang out on the fringes of the national debate.  While still a way off from the true giants out there, this year our teams may turn a few heads in the fall.  Let's take a few statistical angles to see just how far the girls' teams have come.

 

National Top 15 Returning Teams:

(based on MileSplit database only, no consideration for difficulty of course)

 

1 Fayetteville-Manlius 32
  1) Jillian Fanning   17:04.80 1
  2) Christie Rutledge   17:07.90 3
  3) Katie Sischo   17:42.60 6
  4) Heather Martin   17:48.80 10
  5) Katie Brislin   17:51.40 12
  Average Time: 17:31.10 -- Total Time: 1:27:35.50 -- 1-5 Split: 46.60
   
2 Saratoga Springs 181
  1) Margaret Macdonald   17:50.60 11
  2) Keelin Hollowood   17:51.90 13
  3) Madison Carr   18:13.10 23
  4) Estela Smith   18:31.20 55
  5) Katie Treichel   18:42.20 79
  Average Time: 18:13.80 -- Total Time: 1:31:09.00 -- 1-5 Split: 51.60
   
3 Tatnall 189
  1) Haley Pierce   17:05.03 2
  2) Reagan Anderson   17:39.88 5
  3) Kate Hastings   18:13.49 25
  4) Kieran Hanrahan   18:29.20 50
  5) Julie Williams   18:49.64 107
  Average Time: 18:03.45 -- Total Time: 1:30:17.24 -- 1-5 Split: 1:44.61
   
4 Carmel High School 270
  1) Renee Wellman   18:04.70 17
  2) Sarah Bennett   18:09.10 21
  3) Allison Jacobsen   18:32.30 57
  4) Kelcy Welch   18:42.90 81
  5) Lauren Kahre   18:47.00 94
  Average Time: 18:27.20 -- Total Time: 1:32:16.00 -- 1-5 Split: 42.30
   
5 Green Hope 284
  1) Erica Amatori   18:26.57 43
  2) Maura McDonnell   18:28.86 49
  3) Jessica Rossabi   18:31.62 56
  4) Lauren Colberg   18:34.05 59
  5) Sarah Alexander   18:41.62 77
  Average Time: 18:32.54 -- Total Time: 1:32:42.72 -- 1-5 Split: 15.05
   
6 Kingwood 510
  1) Catie Daigre   18:23.41 38
  2) Sandie Raines   18:39.43 72
  3) Ashley Mills   18:54.99 130
  4) Laura Craig   18:55.63 134
  5) Adrianna Suarez   18:56.15 136
  Average Time: 18:45.92 -- Total Time: 1:33:49.61 -- 1-5 Split: 32.74
   
7 North Shore 540
  1) Samantha Nadel   18:22.60 37
  2) Elizabeth Caldwell   18:41.30 74
  3) Jessica Donohue   18:44.10 89
  4) Brianna Nerud   18:53.80 127
  5) Elizabeth Caldw   19:18.70 213
  Average Time: 18:48.10 -- Total Time: 1:34:00.50 -- 1-5 Split: 56.10
   
8 Lakewood Ranch HS 553
  1) Olivia Ortiz   18:15.97 29
  2) Kristin Zarrella   18:27.65 46
  3) Devin McDermott   18:47.12 96
  4) Natalie Novak   18:48.59 103
  5) Ashley Platt   19:34.71 279
  Average Time: 18:46.81 -- Total Time: 1:33:54.04 -- 1-5 Split: 1:18.74
   
9 Great Oak High School 559
  1) Pauline Mandel   18:22.00 35
  2) Ashley Helbig   18:36.00 62
  3) Rachel Seymour   18:44.00 87
  4) Alexis Morabe   19:01.00 147
  5) Madison Baugh   19:22.00 228
  Average Time: 18:49.00 -- Total Time: 1:34:05.00 -- 1-5 Split: 1:00.00
   
10 Estero HS 574
  1) Kacy Smith   17:47.10 9
  2) Maria Frank   18:48.89 105
  3) Katy G Solis   18:50.00 109
  4) Bethany Jenkins   19:02.90 155
  5) Katie Slater   19:14.54 196
  Average Time: 18:44.69 -- Total Time: 1:33:43.43 -- 1-5 Split: 1:27.44
   
11 Northville HS 595
  1) Nicole Mosteller   18:41.60 76
  2) Rachel Coleman   18:43.30 82
  3) Erin Zimmer   18:53.70 126
  4) Gina Mcnamara   18:57.10 138
  5) Alex Rodriguez   19:07.20 173
  Average Time: 18:52.58 -- Total Time: 1:34:22.90 -- 1-5 Split: 25.60
   
12 Ardrey Kell HS 647
  1) Kaitlyn Kramer   17:59.00 16
  2) Sydney Foreman   18:38.00 69
  3) Caitlin Bucksbaum   18:52.00 116
  4) Samantha Teague   18:55.00 131
  5) Sydney Teague   19:43.00 315
  Average Time: 18:49.40 -- Total Time: 1:34:07.00 -- 1-5 Split: 1:44.00
   
13 Ayala High School (SS) 648
  1) Taylor Khan   18:25.00 40
  2) Jaclyn Gonzalez   18:35.00 61
  3) Chandler Colquitt   19:02.00 153
  4) Breanne Baughman   19:10.00 178
  5) Karina Velasco   19:19.00 216
  Average Time: 18:54.20 -- Total Time: 1:34:31.00 -- 1-5 Split: 54.00
   
14 Xavier College Preparatory 651
  1) Sarah Fakler   17:47.10 8
  2) Breanna Perrone   18:34.10 60
  3) McKenna Gaffney   19:06.60 170
  4) Shelby Brown   19:14.60 198
  5) Julianne Vice   19:18.90 215
  Average Time: 18:48.26 -- Total Time: 1:34:01.30 -- 1-5 Split: 1:31.80
   
15 Mason 656
  1) Monica Lake   18:16.80 30
  2) Tori Martin   18:50.00 108
  3) Jessica Harrison   19:03.70 158
  4) Bridget McElhenny   19:06.50 169
  5) Mackenzie Jensen   19:13.10 191
  Average Time: 18:54.02 -- Total Time: 1:34:30.10 -- 1-5 Split: 56.30

 

Note: I cannot vouch for the completeness of every state's database, and of course the idea of fairly comparing times on courses that could be radically different is ludicrous.  Also, some states don't use full 5K at their biggest meets.  Still, I think this is pretty cool.

 

Given those limitations, how about a year-to-year comparison over the past 5 years here in North Carolina?  I used average time of the top 5 runners (relying on PR times) to rank the top 10 girls teams of the past 5 years.

 

  2010 Green Hope
  1) Olivia Enright   18:24.29
  2) Erica Amatori   18:26.57
  3) Maura McDonnell   18:28.86
  4) Jessica Rossabi   18:31.62
  5) Lauren Colberg   18:34.05
  Average Time: 18:29.08 -- Total Time: 1:32:25.39 -- 1-5 Split: 09.76

 

2009 T.C. Roberson
1) Laura Hoer   17:49.81
2) Brooke Gordon   18:23.60
3) Sarah Hope   18:35.00
4) Zoe Dubin   18:44.74
5) Marie Mauhar   19:21.00
Average Time: 18:34.83 -- Total Time: 1:32:54.15 -- 1-5 Split: 1:31.19

 

2009 Green Hope
1) Maura McDonnell   18:32.34
2) Olivia Enright   18:35.56
3) Erica Amatori   18:40.40
4) Jessica Rossabi   18:43.90
5) Lauren Colberg   19:04.50
Average Time: 18:43.34 -- Total Time: 1:33:36.70 -- 1-5 Split: 32.16

 

2010 Ardrey Kell HS
1) Kaitlyn Kramer   17:59.00
2) Sydney Foreman   18:38.00
3) Caitlin Bucksbaum   18:52.00
4) Samantha Teague   18:55.00
5) Sydney Teague   19:43.00
Average Time: 18:49.40 -- Total Time: 1:34:07.00 -- 1-5 Split: 1:44.00

 

2010 Cardinal Gibbons High School
1) Sarah Rapp   17:55.00
2) Mary Grace Doggett   18:46.10
3) Samiiah Wilson   19:09.60
4) Megan Cuomo   19:11.10
5) Krista Rosenquest   19:14.60
Average Time: 18:51.28 -- Total Time: 1:34:16.40 -- 1-5 Split: 1:19.60

 

2010 Watauga
1) Darby Middlebrook   17:47.00
2) Hannah Barbour   18:37.00
3) Madison Harman   18:47.00
4) Hailey Middlebrook   19:23.00
5) Julia Roberts   20:04.43
Average Time: 18:55.69 -- Total Time: 1:34:38.43 -- 1-5 Split: 2:17.43

 

2010 Charlotte Latin
1) Haylee Dawe   18:01.00
2) Ally Finical   18:34.00
3) Kameron Spence   18:52.00
4) Tricia Murphy   19:40.00
5) Katie Mcdowell   19:52.00
Average Time: 18:59.80 -- Total Time: 1:34:59.00 -- 1-5 Split: 1:51.00

 

2008 T.C. Roberson
1) Sarah Hope   18:29.00
2) Marie Mauhar   18:40.00
3) Laura Hoer   18:48.00
4) Zoe Dubin   19:27.00
5) Kylie Smith   19:48.00
Average Time: 19:02.40 -- Total Time: 1:35:12.00 -- 1-5 Split: 1:19.00

 

2010 T.C. Roberson
1) Brooke Gordon   17:55.63
2) Marie Mauhar   18:38.00
3) Alexa Harvey   19:02.00
4) Alyson Arrington   19:23.00
5) Ella Bozeman   20:14.00
Average Time: 19:02.53 -- Total Time: 1:35:12.63 -- 1-5 Split: 2:18.37

 

2007 Cardinal Gibbons High School
1) Heather Beichner   18:16.00
2) Molly Baker   18:52.00
3) Sarah Rapp   19:23.90
4) Halsey Merritt   19:28.00
5) Leah Vaughn   19:43.00
Average Time: 19:08.58 -- Total Time: 1:35:42.90 -- 1-5 Split: 1:27.00

 

Following in the same vein, here is a summary:

2010: 5 teams with sub-19 average, best team averaged 18:29 (Green Hope)

          33 MileSplit US First Team Elite Runners (standard 18:45.00)

 

2009: 2 teams with sub-19 average, best team averaged 18:34 (TC Roberson)

          24 MileSplit US First Team Elite Runners

 

2008: no teams with sub-19 average, best team averaged 19:02 (TC Roberson)

          15 MileSplit US First Team Elite Runners

 

2007: no teams with sub-19 average, best team averaged 19:08 (Cardinal Gibbons, TCR 2nd)

          10 MileSplit US First Team Elite Runners

 

2006: no teams with sub-19 average, best team averaged 19:13 (Chapel Hill, ,TCR 2nd)

          8 MileSplit US First Team Elite Runners

 

(Side note: anyone want to bet against TC Roberson being top 5 in 4A by the end of the season?)

 

Anyone with some time on their hands want to extend that beyond 2006?  I suggest NC Prep Track as a reference.  Or perhaps someone with a historical mind might like to nominate great teams from the past that might stack up based on average time?  Feel free to add your comments!